Game Center
Choose a scheduled game to view the available player predictions and usage statistics.
Touchdown Rankings
0 playersRanked from highest to lowest using the probability values supplied by the current model. A ranking is not a guarantee of a touchdown.
What the numbers mean
Recent carries: recent rushing workload. Recent targets: recent passing-game opportunities. Goal-line opportunities: available measures of opportunities close to the goal line. Red-zone opportunities: available measures of opportunities inside the red zone.
Current model limitation: the trained model currently uses recent carries, targets, goal-line opportunities and red-zone opportunities. The website displays the values supplied in predictions.json; it cannot recover statistics that the prediction file does not contain.
Selecting a matchup currently filters the players shown. It does not yet calculate a unique, opponent-adjusted touchdown probability for that game.
Planned model upgrades
Before TDPM Lab is considered complete, we must incorporate and test opponent defensive strength, weather and stadium conditions, and projected game flow. We will then backtest the upgraded model against historical games it did not train on. These adjustments are not yet active.